绿色发展先行区试点对我国农业生态效率的影响研究

Influence of green development pilot zone on agricultural eco-efficiency in China

  • 摘要: 采取有效政策举措促进农业生态效率提升是当前政府和学界广泛关注的重大现实问题。本文基于2002—2022年我国238个地级行政区面板数据, 采用超效率SBM模型测算农业生态效率并揭示其时空演变特征; 利用多时点双重差分模型, 将农业绿色发展先行区试点作为一项准自然实验, 探究其对农业生态效率的影响、异质性与调节机制。结果表明: 1)我国农业生态效率由2002年的0.039上升到2022年的0.175, 呈逐年波动上升趋势; 高农业生态效率聚类区域由华南为主, 演变为以川渝、华中、西部、东北和华南多点开花的空间格局。2)基准回归结果发现, 与非试点地区和试点实施前相比, 先行区试点对农业生态效率提升具有显著的正向影响, 且结果具有较好的稳健性。3)区域分异性分析发现, 先行区试点对农业生态效率的影响在东部、沿海和粮食主产区较为显著。4)调节机制检验结果表明, 农业产业集聚和农作物种植结构多元化在先行区试点促进农业生态效率提升中起正向调节作用。最后, 本文提出有序推广先行区试点及提升农业生态效率的对策建议。

     

    Abstract: Taking effective policy measures to promote the improvement of agricultural eco-efficiency is a major practical issue that is currently widely concerned by the government and academia. Based on the panel data of 238 prefecture-level administrative regions in China from 2002 to 2022, this paper uses the super-efficiency SBM model to measure agricultural eco-efficiency and reveal its spatial and temporal evolution characteristics. Using the multi-time point DID model, the pilot area of agricultural green development was taken as a quasi-natural experiment to explore its impact, heterogeneity and regulation mechanism on agricultural eco-efficiency. The results showed that: 1) China’s agricultural eco-efficiency increased from 0.039 in 2002 to 0.175 in 2022, showing a dynamic trend of increasing year by year. The clustering area of high agricultural eco-efficiency was dominated by South China, and it had evolved into a spatial pattern of multi-point flowering in Sichuan and Chongqing, Central China, Western China, Northeast China and South China. 2) Benchmark regression results showed that compared with non-pilot areas and before pilot implementation, pilot areas in pilot areas had a significant positive impact on the improvement of agricultural eco-efficiency, and the results had good robustness. 3) Regional differentiation analysis found that the impact of pilot areas on agricultural eco-efficiency was more significant in the eastern, coastal and major grain-producing areas. 4) The results of the adjustment mechanism test showed that the agricultural industry agglomeration and the diversification of crop planting structure played a positive role in promoting the improvement of agricultural eco-efficiency in the pilot area. Finally, this paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for orderly promotion of pilot areas and improvement of agricultural eco-efficiency.

     

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