政策规制、规范认知与农户秸秆出售行为决策

Policy regulation, normative cognition, and farm households’ straw-selling decision-making

  • 摘要: 秸秆还田既有限度又有难度, 借助政策规制和规范认知促进农户秸秆出售行为, 对提高秸秆离田高值化利用和实现农业高质量发展具有重要意义。鉴于此, 构建农户秸秆出售行为决策分析框架, 利用湖北省黄冈市715份农户调查数据, 运用Heckman两阶段模型和IV-Heckman模型, 分析政策规制和规范认知及其交互项对农户秸秆出售行为决策的影响, 并揭示农户秸秆出售行为决策及其影响因素的群体差异性。研究结果表明: 1) 经过内生性检验和稳健性检验后, 政策规制和规范认知是农户秸秆出售行为决策的重要驱动因素。2) 在出售选择阶段, 政策规制和规范认知对农户秸秆出售行为决策存在交互影响, 二者之间呈现一定的互补效应, 但该交互影响并未延伸到后续的秸秆出售程度阶段。3) 政策规制和规范认知对不同区位特征、耕地规模的农户秸秆出售行为决策的影响存在明显群体差异, 即在区位特征上, 二者对近收购点农户的影响更显著; 在耕地规模上, 约束型规制主要影响大规模户, 而规范认知则主要对小规模户产生影响。据此, 在政策推行过程中, 要充分发挥并运用规范认知的柔性约束与引导作用, 推动政策规制和规范认知协同增效, 并因地制宜地实施差异化政策。

     

    Abstract: China’s large-scale agricultural production generates enormous quantities of straw, a significant portion of which remains underutilized, leading to environmental problems such as open burning and increased greenhouse gas emissions. Promoting off-field, and high-value straw utilization is a critical strategy for agricultural carbon reduction and sustainable development. Farm households’ decision to sell straw is the pivotal first step in this industrial value chain. However, despite clear social and environmental benefits, farm households’ participation in the straw market remains limited, largely due to the positive externality problem where high private costs of collection and transport are not offset by sufficient private returns. While existing literature has explored single policy instruments, few studies has systematically investigated the combined effects of formal policy regulation and informal normative cognition, or distinguished between the selling decision and the selling intensity. Grounded in institutional embeddedness theory, this study develops an integrated analytical framework to examine farm households’ straw-selling behavior as a two-stage decision process. We utilize survey data from 715 farm households in Huanggang City, Hubei Province. To address potential sample selection bias, a Heckman two-stage model is employed to analyze households’ initial “selling decision” and subsequent “selling intensity”. The robustness of our findings is further validated using an instrumental variable (IV)-Heckman model to account for potential endogeneity. The empirical results indicate that both policy regulation and normative cognition are significant drivers of farm households’ straw-selling decisions. A key finding is the existence of a significant complementary effect between these two factors in the initial selling decision stage. This synergistic interaction, however, does not extend to the subsequent stage of selling intensity. Furthermore, significant group heterogeneity is observed. The impact of policy regulation and normative cognition on straw-selling decisions varies markedly among farm households with different locational characteristics and cultivated land sizes. This research demonstrates that farm households’ engagement in the straw market is shaped by a dual mechanism of external rules and internal beliefs. Effective policy should move beyond simple regulation to activate farm households’ endogenous motivations by leveraging the guiding function of normative cognition. Policymakers should design interventions that foster synergy between formal and informal norms. The pronounced group heterogeneity invalidates a “one-size-fits-all” approach, necessitating differentiated strategies. For far collection point households, improving the density of the collection points is key, while for small-scale households, incentive-based policies should be prioritized, and for large-scale households, constraint-based regulations may be more effective. Such targeted policies are essential for maximizing high-value straw utilization and advancing high-quality agricultural development.

     

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