三峡库区水体复合污染物浓度时空演变特征及影响因素分析

Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of multi-pollutions concentrations in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area*

  • 摘要: 为厘清“化肥农药减量增效” “畜禽粪尿资源化”和“兽用抗菌药减量使用”等国家行动对三峡库区(长江上游重要生态屏障)水体复合污染物的影响, 本研究通过解析2004—2021年水质数据, 评估氮磷、抗生素及农药的浓度变化与政策实施的关联性, 以填补区域尺度污染管控成效研究的空白。本研究通过文献综述和模型模拟等多方法相结合, 分析了2004—2021年三峡库区农牧系统氮磷农药抗生素管理方式变化对水体复合污染物的影响。结果表明: 1) 2017年后三峡库区水体总氮(TN)、总磷(TP)、抑菌类抗生素磺胺二甲嘧啶(SMZ)、杀虫剂农药浓度和杀菌剂农药浓度较2017年前分别降低24.32%、89.60%、68.74%、49.43%和8.20%, 但抗菌类抗生素磺胺甲噁唑浓度(SMX)却增加12.48%; 2) 2017年三峡库区最高氮浓度区域分布在库区中下游区域, 如乌江、嘉陵江等, 最高农药和抗生素浓度区域则分布在嘉陵江等流域; 3) 2017年三峡库区农牧系统氮磷利用效率分别为21.68%和13.16%, 农田生产子系统氮磷利用效率分别为25.61%和18.88%, 畜牧生产子系统氮磷利用效率分别为13.12%和4.62%; 4) 作物和动物结构变化对农牧系统氮磷损失影响较大。例如, 在农田生产子系统中, 随着油菜种植面积增加, 单位面积氮磷损失量随之增加(P<0.01); 在畜牧生产子系统中, 氮磷损失量受肉鸡和肉牛养殖量影响较大(P<0.01)。未来三峡库区应重点关注库区中上游区域的农药和抗生素浓度变化, 加强农药和抗生素科学使用引导。

     

    Abstract: To clarify the impacts of national initiatives, specifically “Chemical Fertilizer and Pesticide Reduction and Efficiency Enhancement” “Livestock Manure Resource Utilization” and “Veterinary Antibiotic Use Reduction”, on multi-pollutions in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area (a critical ecological barrier in the upper Yangtze River), this study analyzed water quality data ranging from 2004 to 2021. We evaluated correlations between policy implementation and changes in nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), antibiotics, and pesticide concentrations, addressing the research gap in regional-scale pollution control efficacy. This study combines literature review and model simulation methods to analyze the impact of changes in N, P, pesticides, and antibiotics management in crop-livestock system on multi-pollutions in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area from 2004 to 2021. Results showed: 1) After 2017, the concentrations of N, P, antibacterial antibiotic (sulfamethazine SMZ), pesticides (insecticides, fungicide) in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area decreased by 24.32%, 89.60%, 68.74%, 49.43%, and 8.20% respectively, compared with before 2017, but the concentration of antibacterial antibiotic sulfamethoxazole (SMX) increased by 12.48%; 2) In 2017, the highest N concentration areas were distributed in the middle and lower reaches of the reservoir area, such as Wujiang and Jialing rivers, while the highest pesticide and antibiotic concentration areas were distributed in rivers like the Jialing River; 3) In 2017, the N and P use efficiencies of the crop-livestock systems in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area were 21.68% and 13.16%, respectively; for the crop production subsystem, they were 25.61% and 18.88%, and for the livestock production subsystem, 13.12% and 4.62%; 4) crop and animal structure adjustments had a significant impact on N and P losses in crop-livestock subsystem. For example, in the crop production subsystem, N and P losses increased with the increase in rapeseed planting area(P<0.01); in the livestock production subsystems, the intensity of N and P losses was greatly influenced by the number of poultry and beef(P<0.01). In the future, the Three Gorges Reservoir Area should focus on changes in pesticides and antibiotic concentrations in the middle and lower reaches of the reservoir area and strengthen guidance on the scientific use of pesticides and antibiotics.

     

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