数字技术与农业减污降碳协同治理

  • 摘要: 协同推进农业降碳减污是实现乡村生态振兴的必由之路。现代数字技术与农业经济的深入融合为乡村生态振兴带来了新机遇。按照农农业生产减排固碳的思路,本文从投入要素减量化,农业废弃物资源化以及生产方式规模化的逻辑进行验证。基于2005-2022年30个省份的面板数据,从边际减排成本的角度量化测算协同效益,运用双向固定效应面模型验证了数字技术对农业减污降碳协同效益的影响及其路径机制。结果表明,数字技术有助于减少农业要素投入减量化和农业生产高效化,进而提高减污降碳协同效益。该结果经过了一系列稳健性检验和内生性检验后仍然成立。内部机制结果表明,数字技术可以减少农药、化肥、农膜和灌溉用水实现减量化,并提高农业生产效率。外部机制结果表明,数字技术有助于农村能源结构转型和土地流转,即促进农业废弃物资源化利用和农业生产规模化两个渠道提高减污降碳协同效益。异质性分析的结果表明,数字技术在产业融合度高和粮食主销区对协同效益的提升作用更强烈。

     

    Abstract: Coordinated promotion of agricultural carbon reduction and pollution reduction is the only way to achieve rural ecological revitalization. The deep integration of modern digital technology and agricultural economy has brought new opportunities for rural ecological revitalization. According to the idea of agricultural production emission reduction and carbon fixation, this paper verifies the logic of input factor reduction, agricultural waste resource utilization and production mode scale. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2005 to 2022, quantifying synergies from the perspective of marginal emission reduction costs, the two-way fixed-effect model was used to verify the impact of digital technology on the synergistic benefits of agricultural pollution reduction and carbon reduction and its path mechanism. The results show that digital technology can help reduce the reduction of agricultural factor input and improve the efficiency of agricultural production, and then improve the synergistic benefit of pollution reduction and carbon reduction. The result was still valid after a series of robustness tests and endogeneity tests. Internal mechanism analysis results show that digital technology can reduce pesticides, fertilizers, agricultural film and irrigation water to achieve reductions, and improve agricultural production efficiency. The results of the external mechanism test show that digital technology is conducive to the transformation of rural energy structure and land circulation, that is, promoting the utilization of agricultural waste resources and agricultural production scale to improve the synergistic benefits of pollution reduction and carbon reduction. The results of heterogeneity analysis show that digital technology has a stronger effect on enhancing synergies in areas with high industrial integration and main grain sales.

     

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