基于气象数据的河北低平原盐碱区作物水分供需评估与优化配置

Assessment and optimal allocation of crop water supply and demand in saline-alkali areas of Hebei's low-lying plains based on meteorological data

  • 摘要: 探讨河北低平原盐碱区水分供需动态特征并制定针对性的水分管理方案,对缓解区域水资源短缺和提升盐碱地农业产能具有重要意义。本研究以黄骅市(滨海盐碱类型区)和南皮县(内陆盐碱类型区)为典型县域,基于2015—2024年气象数据,分析了冬小麦和夏玉米生育期内潜在蒸散量、有效降水量和需水量的时序变化特征,比较了不同生育阶段作物需水量、有效降水和日均水分亏缺量的差异,并借助逐日水分盈亏指数识别关键干旱时段。结果表明,近10年来研究区潜在蒸散量呈上升趋势,年增长幅度介于8.02-11.37 mm/a,而有效降水量则以2.48 mm/a(黄骅市)和2.85 mm/a(南皮县)的速率递减,水分供需失衡态势持续加剧。冬小麦全生育期均存在持续性水分亏缺,抽穗期尤为严重,日均亏缺量超过9.0 mm/d,且重度及以上干旱天数占比达34%以上;关键缺水时段主要集中在越冬期和拔节抽穗期,高发时段为12月下旬至次年1月中旬、4月1-8日、4月24-30日。夏玉米水分状况总体较好,仅在灌浆期出现短期水分不足。针对两地地下水矿化度与土壤盐碱状况的差异,提出分区水分管理优化方案:建议黄骅市和南皮县最晚于11月下旬实施一次镇压保墒措施;南皮县适宜采用拔节期微咸水+抽穗期雨水的分期灌溉模式,黄骅市则建议在拔节期与抽穗期均使用蓄积雨水灌溉。本研究从日尺度解析了气候变化背景下河北低平原盐碱区水分供需特征,识别了作物水分管理关键期,提出来差异化的分区灌溉策略,为区域雨水资源化、微咸水安全利用、缓解地下水超采及盐碱地农业水资源高效管理提供理论支撑与实践路径。

     

    Abstract: INVESTIGATING THE DYNAMIC CHARACTERISTICS OF WATER SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN SALINE-ALKALI AREAS OF HEBEI'S LOW-LYING PLAINS AND DEVELOPING TARGETED WATER MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES ARE OF SIGNIFICANT IMPORTANCE FOR ALLEVIATING REGIONAL WATER SCARCITY AND IMPROVING AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ON SALINE-ALKALI LANDS. USING HUANGHUA CITY (A COASTAL SALINE-ALKALI AREA) AND NANPI COUNTY (AN INLAND SALINE-ALKALI AREA) AS REPRESENTATIVE CASES, THIS STUDY EXAMINED TEMPORAL VARIATIONS IN POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION, EFFECTIVE PRECIPITATION, AND WATER DEMAND DURING THE GROWTH PERIODS OF WINTER WHEAT AND SUMMER MAIZE BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL DATA FROM 2015 TO 2024. IT COMPARED DIFFERENCES IN CROP WATER DEMAND, EFFECTIVE PRECIPITATION, AND AVERAGE DAILY WATER DEFICIT ACROSS GROWTH STAGES, AND IDENTIFIED CRITICAL DROUGHT PERIODS USING DAILY WATER BALANCE INDICES. RESULTS SHOW THAT OVER THE PAST DECADE, POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION IN THE STUDY AREA HAS INCREASED, WITH ANNUAL GROWTH RATES RANGING FROM 8.02 TO 11.37 MM/A. MEANWHILE, EFFECTIVE PRECIPITATION DECREASED AT RATES OF 2.48 MM/A (HUANGHUA CITY) AND 2.85 MM/A (NANPI COUNTY), LEADING TO A CONTINUOUSLY WIDENING IMBALANCE BETWEEN WATER SUPPLY AND DEMAND. PERSISTENT WATER DEFICITS OCCURRED THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE GROWTH PERIOD OF WINTER WHEAT, WITH PARTICULARLY SEVERE CONDITIONS DURING THE HEADING STAGE. THE AVERAGE DAILY DEFICIT EXCEEDED 9.0 MM/D, AND THE PROPORTION OF DAYS EXPERIENCING SEVERE OR WORSE DROUGHT REACHED OVER 34%. CRITICAL WATER-DEFICIENT PERIODS WERE MAINLY CONCENTRATED DURING THE OVERWINTERING AND JOINTING-HEADING STAGES, WITH PEAK OCCURRENCES FROM LATE DECEMBER TO MID-JANUARY OF THE FOLLOWING YEAR, APRIL 1–8, AND APRIL 24–30. SUMMER MAIZE GENERALLY MAINTAINED ADEQUATE MOISTURE CONDITIONS, WITH ONLY BRIEF WATER SHORTAGES DURING THE GRAIN FILLING STAGE. CONSIDERING DIFFERENCES IN GROUNDWATER MINERALIZATION AND SOIL SALINITY BETWEEN THE TWO REGIONS, A ZONED WATER MANAGEMENT OPTIMIZATION PLAN IS PROPOSED: HUANGHUA CITY AND NANPI COUNTY SHOULD IMPLEMENT SOIL COMPACTION MEASURES FOR MOISTURE RETENTION NO LATER THAN LATE NOVEMBER; NANPI COUNTY IS SUITABLE FOR A PHASED IRRIGATION APPROACH USING SLIGHTLY SALINE WATER DURING THE JOINTING STAGE AND RAINWATER DURING THE HEADING STAGE. HUANGHUA CITY IS ADVISED TO USE STORED RAINWATER FOR IRRIGATION DURING BOTH THE JOINTING AND HEADING STAGES. THIS STUDY ANALYZED DAILY-SCALE WATER SUPPLY AND DEMAND CHARACTERISTICS IN HEBEI'S LOW-LYING SALINE-ALKALI PLAINS UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE, IDENTIFIED CRITICAL CROP WATER MANAGEMENT PERIODS, AND PROPOSED DIFFERENTIATED ZONAL IRRIGATION STRATEGIES. THESE FINDINGS PROVIDE THEORETICAL SUPPORT AND PRACTICAL PATHWAYS FOR REGIONAL RAINWATER RESOURCE UTILIZATION, SAFE USE OF SLIGHTLY SALINE WATER, MITIGATION OF GROUNDWATER OVEREXPLOITATION, AND EFFICIENT AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT IN SALINE-ALKALI SOILS.

     

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